Why Amgen's osteoporosis drug will be a blockbuster

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Amgen's stock has been going up on the clinical trial results of their new drug called denosumab to treat osteoporosis and why not? It could be the primary and secondary osteoporosis treatment of choice for many patients and physicians but there are some hurdles that will need to be cleared, especially with payers.
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Novartis has been running a DTC campaign positioning Reclast as a drug that both prevents fractures and is needed only once a year. The problem is that most primary care physicians are not set up to give an IV treatment (Reclast's minimum IV infusion time is 15 minutes) and they do not get reimbursed for all their time. In fact, on the Reclast site, there are some callouts to help healthcare professionals code their treatment for reimbursement assistance. Primary care physicians are also not set up to purchase IV infusions, which leads to other potential issues. Also on their site are links for primary care docs to download referral forms (and how many will want to give up their patients?) and find infusion centers (!). Reclast has been on the market over a year now and sales are less than I would have thought for a once a year option. Patients on Reclast are also recommended to take calcium and vitamin D supplements, which could lead to compliance issues.


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Primary care physicians are not set up to give IV infusions and need to understand how they
are going to get reimbursed for their time, which could over an hour.

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Enter Amgen's denosumab. A subcutaneous injection that not only can prevent fractures, but can also build new bone. It is a simple injection so physicians can treat the patient with the minimum amount of time and effort and get reimbursed according to their business model. I am sure that denosumab will be expensive and as such most payers might want HCPs to start patients on generic bisphosphonate therapy first. However, if Amgen can show that starting patients on denosumab first lowers the overall health care costs of the patient, they could get denosumab as a first line treatment along with generic bisphosphonate therapy.

Bisphosphonate therapy can have some nasty side effects and it is generally suggested that patients also take calcium and vitamin D supplements. In fact one brand, Fosamax, now comes with calcium and vitamin D. If denosumab can prevent fractures and build bone density with a minimum of side effects, Amgen could quickly find that it has a winner on their hands.


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Patients who take Boniva and other bisphosphonates have to stay upright for 60 minutes after taking their pill and some patients experience nasty GI side effects.

You should not take BONIVA if you have low blood calcium, cannot sit or stand for at least 60 minutes, have severe kidney disease, or are allergic to BONIVA. Stop taking BONIVA and tell your healthcare provider if you experience difficult or painful swallowing, chest pain, or severe or continuing heartburn, as these may be signs of serious upper digestive problems

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